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Does faster reintegration of the unemployed reduce job quality?

October 5, 2018 by admin

Active labor market policies aim at a fast reintegration of the unemployed into the labor market. Since finding a new job requires both search effort and application skills, job centers may try to improve both by increasing the search requirements for unemployment benefit recipients and providing them with job search assistance, respectively. Two recent IZA discussion papers investigate how these approaches affect employment outcomes in Switzerland.

Stricter search requirements reduce unemployment duration

The paper by Patrick Arni and Amelie Schiprowski analyzes how the level of the search requirement affects the provision of effort, the duration of unemployment and re-employment outcomes. Since job seekers are randomly assigned to caseworkers, who vary with respect to how many applications they require per month, the researchers were able to isolate the effect of stricter search requirements.

Their study shows that the duration of unemployment decreases by 3% when the requirement increases by one monthly job application. Changes in the requirement mostly affect lower-skilled job seekers. For skilled job seekers, targeting the quantity of job applications appears to be less effective. Moreover, the effects are larger among individuals who exhibited lower levels of voluntary effort prior to the first caseworker meeting.

These results show that the setting of individual effort targets to steer job search can be a successful strategy for labor market policy. However, when considering the longer run, the authors find modest reactions of re-employment job quality to requirements. An additionally required job application causes re-employment spells to shorten by 0.3%, while the effects on wages are zero. Strengthening the requirement regime thus seems to only marginally reduce job quality.

Job search assistance raises employment only in the short run

The paper by Lionel Cottier, Yves Flückiger, Pierre Kempeneers and Rafael Lalive looks at the long-term effects of a  job search assistance program designed by a job placement firm in Geneva to help the long-term unemployed. The program offered guidance on writing job applications and help in finding job vacancies.

In the short run, the program significantly improved job-seekers’ re-entry into the labor force, with a difference of around four percentage points compared to the control group. In the medium run, though, these positive effects vanish and both groups have a similar performance until approximately two years after the experiment. Then, the patterns revert: Treated job seekers are less likely to be employed than their control group counterparts. The difference is significant up to three years after the experiment and finally disappears when looking at a longer horizon.

The authors find that the program probably reduced employment stability by lowering job quality. Many participants leave their new job exactly once they qualify again for unemployment benefits. The results show that job search programs can place job seekers fast but at the expense of employment stability. Evaluations of such programs should thus assess whether job quality is affected and adopt a long time horizon to assess employment stability.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: active labor market policies, behavior, employment, Switzerland, unemployment

Did the Internet displace social capital?

October 4, 2018 by Mark Fallak

Starting from Adam Smith, economists have long pondered the role of networks, values, civic engagement and trust – often grouped together under the umbrella concept of social capital – in the economic activity. Many studies show that countries and regions with low levels of social capital tend to lag in development and growth. Indicators of social capital, however, have been reportedly declining in high-income countries in the last decades, especially concerning civic engagement and political participation.

In his bestseller Bowling Alone, Robert Putnam suggested that television and other forms of domestic entertainment such as video games probably replaced relational activities in individuals’ leisure time. If television, a unidirectional mass medium, can displace social capital, it stands to reason that the Internet, which provides on-demand content and allows for interactive communication, might induce an even more powerful substitution effect.

Despite the economic outcomes of social capital and the pervasiveness of the Internet, only a few studies in economics empirically analysed the impact of Internet use on social capital. Does the time we spend online displace our civic engagement and political participation? Is the Internet weakening our social ties making us less connected than before? How does the social capital of the economy react to the development and spreading of new information and communication technologies?

A new IZA discussion paper by Andrea Geraci, Mattia Nardotto, Tommaso Reggiani and Fabio Sabatini answers these questions using new data from the UK. The authors study how the introduction of high-speed Internet affected the social capital of the Britons. This is a tricky issue to deal with because endogenous sample selection and treatment assignment make it difficult to establish whether broadband penetration and social capital are connected by a causal relationship or just spuriously correlated.

For example, the purchase of a fast Internet connection and aspects of social capital such as civic engagement may be codetermined by unobservable personality traits. Reverse causality is also at stake, as more socially active individuals may have a stronger propensity for using the Internet as a tool to preserve and extend their offline relationships.

The broadband infrastructure

To overcome these problems, the authors match information about the topology of the UK telephone network – including the geolocation of its nodes and of the blocks served by each of them – with geocoded longitudinal data taken from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS). The resulting dataset allows calculating the distance of the individual telephone line possessed by each BHPS respondent from the respective node of the voice network. Such a distance was a key factor of the access to fast Internet in the early years of broadband penetration.

Until the second half of the 2000s, in fact, broadband Internet was mostly based on the digital subscriber line (DSL) infrastructure, which allows for the transmission of data over the old telephone wires made of copper. However, the speed of a connection rapidly decays with the distance of a final user’s telephone line from the node of the network serving the area, also called “local exchange” (LE).

While at the time the network was designed in the 1930s the length of the copper wire connecting houses to the LE (also called local loop) did not affect the quality of voice communications, the introduction of DSL technology in the 1990s unpredictably turned distance from the LE into a key determinant of the availability of fast Internet, thereby creating exogenous discontinuities in broadband penetration. Proximity to the respective node of the network thus resulted in access to fast Internet, while more distant dwellings were de facto excluded from accessing the broadband.

Broadband Internet and social capital

The authors’ results paint a complex picture. They find that, after the advent of the broadband in the area, several indicators of social capital started to decrease with proximity to the node of the network, suggesting that the exposure to fast Internet displaced some dimensions of social capital, but not all of them. There is no evidence that broadband access displaced routine interactions such as meetings with friends.

However, fast Internet crowded out forms of cultural consumption that are usually enjoyed in company such as watching movies at the cinema and attending concerts and theatre shows. In addition, broadband penetration significantly displaced civic engagement and political participation, i.e. time consuming activities that usually take place during leisure time, are not pursued in order to reach particularistic goals, and generally relate to a non self-interested involvement in public affairs.

Associational activities have been often mentioned as a form of bridging social capital creating positive societal and economic externalities, and the finding in this paper suggests an explanation for their reportedly declining trend.

The developing role of fast Internet use, however, certainly calls for further investigation, as social media dramatically changed the role of Internet use. A more recent wave of Internet studies suggests that social media may also support collective action and political mobilization, especially in young democracies and authoritarian regimes, thereby providing a potentially positive contribution to the strengthening of political participation.

Other studies, on the other hand, highlight how the increasing importance of social media in the public discourse entails new systemic risks, connected to the propagation of misinformation, the extreme polarization of the political debate and the spreading of online incivility. Future research should deal with these conflicting effects, also in light of the prominent role that a limited number of platforms, such as Facebook and Twitter, assumed in biasing results of the 2016 US presidential election and of the Brexit referendum.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: broadband internet, civic engagement, networks, political participation, social capital, Trust

Matching workers and jobs online

September 28, 2018 by Mark Fallak

Market transactions, including the labor market, take place online because information and communications technology naturally optimizes the main purpose of markets: the matching of supply and demand. At the same time, it seamlessly documents these transactions so that studying and understanding markets depends heavily on access to such transaction data.

How to leverage the internet as a data source of social science, and labor economics in particular, is the main research mission of IDSC, IZA’s research data center.

Organized by Nikos Askitas and Peter Kuhn, a two-day workshop brought together economists and computer scientists from academia and practice to showcase research with data from internet job boards, one of the main modes of matching facilitation in labor markets worldwide today.

Experimenting with job boards

Online job boards can be used to perform randomized controlled trials (RCT) in a cost-efficient manner. RCTs are among the most rigorous methods to measure the control of an intervention in the labor market setting by using placebo and control groups to improve measurement accuracy and reliability. Keynote speaker Michèle Belot and Robert Mahlstedt presented papers with RCTs involving the UK Universal Jobmatch website and Jobnet, the public website for all jobseekers and employers in Denmark, respectively. The first paper redesigned the standard job search web interface by providing tailored advice and measuring the effect of the intervention while the latter designed online tools aimed at improving the understanding, by the unemployed, of the 2017 unemployment benefits reform in Denmark.

Signaling in the hiring process

When firms hire they have a horizontal and a vertical dimension along which to search for workers. The horizontal dimension involves the various skills required while the vertical dimension involves the quality of the worker they are seeking. While, when involving hard skills, the horizontal dimension is straight forward the vertical is harder to get a handle on. John Horton worked with data from job board oDesk (now part of upwork) to investigate whether or not matching between workers and firms is improved both in terms of efficiency (number of applications until match occurs) and in terms of quality (hours worked after match occurred) if employers signal along the vertical dimension the level they are willing to hire (i.e. by revealing they are seeking Entry Level, Intermediate or Expert quality). The paper finds this to be the case particularly for the lower end of the spectrum.

Corporate culture and firm performance

Stefan Pasch web scraped 550,000 employee reviews of a number of firms from glassdoor.com and using text analysis techniques constructed a measure of corporate culture for each firm. He then showed that “firms that differ strongly from the average culture of their industry show worse firm performance, supporting the hypothesis that a culture should fit to its business environment.” Moreover, he finds that “suboptimal culture choices can be partly explained by CEO characteristics, while regional culture only plays a minor role.”

Finally, besides a number of other interesting presentations and consistent with the workshop’s aim to bring academics and practitioners together, noteworthy research and data were presented by Bledi Taska (Burning Glass Technologies), Kristin Keveloh (LinkedIn) and Martha Gimbel (Indeed Hiring Lab).

For a list of all presented papers, see the workshop program. The second issue of this workshop will take place on September 21-22, 2019, in Bochum, Germany, in cooperation with the Center for Advanced Internet Studies.

Filed Under: IZA News, Research Tagged With: Internet, job search, matching, online job boards

Why does education reduce crime?

September 24, 2018 by admin

Reduced criminality is a beneficial consequence of education policies that raise the school leaving age. There are two possible explanations: First, extra time spent in the education system increases labor market prospects and makes crime relatively less profitable (the longer-term effect). Second, children in the classroom are kept off the streets and have less free time to commit crimes (the temporary “incapacitation” effect).

A new IZA discussion paper by Brian Bell, Rui Costa and Stephen Machin analyzes both mechanisms within the same empirical setting. The paper studies how crime reductions occurred in a sequence of state-level dropout age reforms enacted between 1980 and 2010 in the United States. The authors find that these reforms changed the shape of crime-age profiles, reflecting both a temporary incapacitation effect and a more sustained crime-reducing effect in the longer run.

In contrast to previous research looking at earlier education reforms, crime reduction does not arise solely as a result of education improvements. The reforms studied in the new paper at best had very modest effects on average educational attainment and wages. The authors instead interpret the observed longer run effect as “dynamic incapacitation” – which essentially means that avoiding trouble during the school-age years keeps people on the right track later in life.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: crime, education, education policy, high school dropouts, school leaving age

Parental leave benefits do not widen the socio-economic gap in child development

September 21, 2018 by admin

When Germany introduced generous parental leave benefits in 2007, higher-income households benefited relatively more from the reform than low-income households. Critics feared this would widen the socio-economic gap in child development as better educated mothers could delay their return to work and spend more time with their children.

However, a new IZA dicussion paper by Mathias Hübener, Daniel Kühnle and C. Katharina Spieß reveals no effects of the changes in parental leave benefits on child development across various socio-economic groups, and consequently no effects on socio-economic development gaps. The study is based on administrative data from mandatory school entrance examinations containing detailed child development assessments at age six.

This finding is good news, according to the authors, as other positive effects of parental leave would at least not be diminished by increasing social inequality in child development.

Fewer single mothers

An earlier IZA discussion paper by Kamila Cygan-Rehm, Daniel Kühnle and Regina T. Riphahn points to one of these positive effects: Since parental leave benefits are only paid to parents who live in the same household, the reform increased the likelihood that children grow up with both parents.

Comparing children who were born shortly before/after the parental allowance was introduced on January 1, 2007, the researchers found that the reform increased the probability that a newborn lives with non-married cohabiting parents. This goes along with a reduced incidence of single motherhood among the potential winners of the reform – an effect that persists over time.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: child development, Germany, parental leave, single motherhood, socio-economic inequality

How xenophobic violence impairs the integration of immigrants

September 19, 2018 by admin

Integration of immigrants is a two-way process involving immigrants and the host country society. An underexplored question is how events of xenophobic violence in the host country affect the integration of immigrants.

For this purpose, a new IZA discussion paper by Max Steinhardt exploits a unique series of anti-immigrant attacks in the early 1990s in West Germany. Using a difference-in-differences matching strategy, he finds that macro exposure to xenophobic violence has an impact on several dimensions of socio-economic integration of immigrants.

In particular, it reduces subjective well-being and increases return intentions, while it reduces investment in German language skills among those staying in Germany. From a policy perspective, this paper shows that anti-immigrant violence can have indirect costs by impairing the integration of those immigrants who belong to the target group of xenophobic attacks.

Read a more detailed summary in German.

Filed Under: Research

Gay marriage policies improve attitudes towards sexual minorities

September 18, 2018 by admin

Do laws shape attitudes? Or do they simply reflect them? A new IZA discussion paper by Cevat Giray Aksoy (EBRD, IZA, London School of Economics), Christopher Carpenter (Vanderbilt University, IZA, NBER), Ralph De Haas (EBRD and Tilburg University) and Kevin Tran (DIW Berlin) answers these questions by using a large cross-national dataset from Europe. Specifically, they examine whether the gradual rollout of same-sex relationship recognition policies improved attitudes toward sexual minorities.

The researchers find that the introduction of a relationship recognition law for same-sex couples is associated with a statistically significant 3.6 percentage point increase in the likelihood that a respondent agreed that “gay men and lesbians should be free to live their own life as they wish”. In other words, the adoption of expanded relationship recognition policies for same-sex couples can explain more than one-third of the overall improvement in attitudes toward sexual minorities between 2002 and 2016. They also document that the effects identified emerge only after policy adoption, suggesting that the policies cause changes in attitudes (and not vice versa).

The study also shows that the effects of same-sex relationship policies are unique to LGBT attitudes: there is no systematic relation between these policies and people’s views on other social and economic issues (including attitudes toward other minority groups such as immigrants). The improvements in attitudes can also be observed across many demographic groups.

Studying these policy changes is timely because advancements in civil rights for lesbian, gay, bisexual, and transgender (LGBT) individuals throughout Europe and the Americas have been some of the most striking social changes in recent decades. The results of the study suggest that as marriage equality and other relationship recognition policies continue to expand throughout the world, one might expect to observe continued improvements in attitudes towards sexual minorities.  This could translate into less discrimination (or more inclusion) in labor and housing markets, improved mental health for sexual minorities, and a range of other potential benefits associated with less anti-LGBT sentiment.

Bullying in school and at work

One such benefit could be fewer instances of bullying experienced by sexual orientation minorities, which is a phenomenon that tends to persist over time, according to another recent IZA discussion paper by Nick Drydakis (Anglia Ruskin University, IZA). His estimations suggests that school-age bullying of LGB people is associated with victims’ lower educational level and occupational sorting into non-white-collar jobs, especially for gay/bisexual men. School-age bullying also appears to be positively associated with workplace bullying and negatively associated with job satisfaction.

In an IZA World of Labor article, Drykadis summarizes more international research findings on how sexual orientation affects job access and satisfaction, earnings prospects, and interaction with colleagues.

Filed Under: Research

School reforms and socioeconomic inequality in Germany

September 17, 2018 by admin

In Germany, the poor performance in PISA 2000 stimulated a heated public debate and a strong policy response. Reacting to the low average and remarkable disparities registered by the test, the government implemented several educational reforms which improved the country’s educational performance and reduced the gap between children from advantaged and disadvantaged educational backgrounds. Between‐group achievement inequalities, however, still persist within the country. A new IZA Policy Paper by Goethe University Frankfurt researchers  Maddalena Davoli und Horst Entorf takes a closer look at the policy reforms and the current situation.

The reforms eventually led to a schooling system which has become more standardized and centralized, more closely monitored, and perhaps most importantly, less segregated than at the time before PISA 2000. The result of this change can be seen when looking at the performance difference of PISA scores between children from high vs. low educated parents: Whereas the disadvantage was significantly above the OECD average still in 2009, it fell well below the OECD average after the year 2012.

Still, children with a migratory history lag behind. Despite some improvements, the gap between native and immigrant children has remained above the OECD level.

The analysis identifies language problems as the major obstacle. In this respect, the common practice of early tracking restricts integration, as many of those with a poor command of the German language end up in the lower-track secondary schools (Hauptschulen), where they keep the peers speaking their mother tongue.

Controversy about the role of schools

Finally, although OECD’s PISA tests seems to be very successful, particularly in Germany, the authors also note that the OECD has been criticized for a potentially misleading impact of PISA tests as they may be biased in favor of the economic role of public schools. Critics claim that preparing children for gainful employment should not necessarily be the main goal of public education. Instead, students should be prepared for participation in democratic self‐government, moral action and well-being.

According to the authors, this critique is certainly an opinion which is not shared by the majority of German citizens and researchers working on education, but it represents the voice of a significant number of practitioners and educational scientists.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: achievement, education, education policy, Germany, inequality, migration background, PISA, reforms, school

Immigration of poor voters increases redistribution

August 30, 2018 by admin

How does immigration of poor people affect the lives of natives? This old policy question has recently gained extra attention in countries with large immigrant and refugee inflows. One recurring concern in the public debate is that generous welfare states attract low-skilled immigrants who supposedly benefit from public spending while contributing little in taxes. Consequently, immigration may reduce the level of taxation and spending if it lowers native voters’ support for redistributive policies – possibly also at the expense of poor natives.

However, this relationship may change if immigrants are allowed to vote as well. A recent IZA discussion paper by Arnaud Chevalier, Benjamin Elsner, Andreas Lichter and Nico Pestel analyzes how immigration causally affects redistribution in a setting where immigrants are granted immediate voting rights. Exploiting a historical episode of mass migration to post-war West Germany as a natural experiment, the paper provides evidence that the inflow of poor immigrant voters led to a more generous welfare state and had a lasting impact on preferences for redistribution.

Voting rights and welfare eligibility

After the end of World War II, twelve million Germans were forcibly displaced from the territories ceded to Poland and the Soviet Union. Around two-thirds of them settled in West Germany, which increased the West German population by almost 20% within a very short period of time, with the migrant population share varying by county from below 2% to more than 40%. These migrants were considerably poorer than the average native. However, as German citizens, they had voting rights and were eligible for social welfare from their time of arrival.

Using panel data for West German cities, the study finds that local governments responded to the migration shock with selective and persistent raises in local taxes as well as shifts in municipal spending. Farm and business owners were taxed more while residential property and wage bill taxes remained largely unchanged (see figure below). High-inflow cities significantly raised welfare spending while reducing spending on infrastructure and housing.

Long-lasting effects

Election data suggest that these policy changes were partly driven by the political influence of the immigrants. In high-inflow regions, the major parties were more likely to nominate immigrants as candidates, and a pro-immigrant party received high vote shares. The impact of the expellees can be felt until today: More than 50 years later, people living in areas with larger inflows in the 1940s still have a substantially higher demand for redistribution.

The findings have implications for today’s debates about migrants’ voting rights. For example, intra-EU migrants are currently allowed to vote in local elections in their country of residence. But the largest global migration flows still occur within countries, especially from rural to urban areas. The study suggests that larger cities with a growing population of poor migrants may see a shift of the political landscape if the migrants have the same voting rights as the incumbent population.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: expellees, immigration, natives, redistribution, refugees, taxation, voting, welfare

Brothers foster women’s gender conformity

August 27, 2018 by admin

Having a brother rather than a sister increases the gender-stereotypical degree of women’s choice of occupation and partner, according to a recent IZA discussion paper by Anne Ardila Brenøe (University of Zurich and IZA). The effect can be attributed mainly to gender-specialized parenting in families with mixed-sex children, which leads to a stronger transmission of traditional gender norms, persisting into the next generation of girls.

In most OECD countries, women today attain more education than men and participate almost equally in the labor force. However, gender identity still plays an important role for gender differences in behavior and economic outcomes. Although the barriers to women’s participation in education and the labor force have been largely removed in an attempt to achieve gender equality, women keep choosing fields of study that lead to substantially lower-paid occupations.

Family environment matters

Brenøe wanted to find out to what extent this gender conformity is influenced by the gender of peers. Given that the family constitutes an essential facet of a child’s socialization process, sibling gender composition might have a crucial impact on how siblings interact with each other, as well as how parents interact with their children. For instance, parents might invest differently in their children depending on the children’s gender composition, which in turn could alter the intergenerational transmission of gender norms.

Using high-quality administrative data for the entire Danish population, the study evaluates women’s choice of occupation and partner from age 31 to 40 by looking at the gender share in the respective occupations. To isolate the influence of sibling gender, Brenøe compares first-born women who have a second-born brother to those with a second-born sister.

Women with brothers choose lower-paid occupations

The findings show that women with a younger brother are indeed more likely to work in female-dominated occupations and choose more traditional partners. They are 7.4 percent less likely to work in science and technology (STEM) occupations, which are still male-dominated and typically better-paid. Not surprisingly, therefore, the study also shows that women with a brother earn less than those with a sister. These effects seem to persist in the long run: Daughters’ comparative advantage in language over math in school is larger for those with a more gender-conforming mother.

In theory, the “brother effect” could go through either child-parent and/or child-sibling interactions. The study provides compelling evidence in favor of the former channel by showing that parents of mixed-sex children invest their time more gender-specifically: Mothers spend more (and fathers less) time with their first-born daughters if the second-born child is a boy. As a result, girls with a younger brother receive less qualified help with homework in traditionally male-dominated subjects, which might prevent them from growing interests in these fields.

The study thus concludes that the formation of gender identity among girls in the childhood family environment, particularly in more traditional families, fosters gender-conforming behavior that stands in the way of eliminating gender inequality in the labor market. “If society wants to give boys and girls the same opportunities at the time when they enter the labor market in adulthood, policy-makers need to focus on how to counteract gender-stereotypical human capital investments,” writes Brenøe.

Filed Under: Research Tagged With: gender, human capital, parents, STEM

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